2025 NFL ATS Championship Picks

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Post on Jan 22, 2025

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2025 NFL ATS Championship Picks: My Bold Predictions (and Why I Might Be Wrong!)

Hey football fanatics! So, it's a bit early, right? Predicting the 2025 NFL season? Yeah, I know. But I'm a sucker for a challenge, and honestly, I've been crunching numbers and watching film (okay, mostly highlights on YouTube) and I've got some bold predictions for you. We're talking Against the Spread (ATS) championships here, people. This isn't just about who wins the Super Bowl; it's about who consistently covers the spread. That's where the real money (or bragging rights) is at!

My Top ATS Contenders for 2025

I'm putting my neck on the line here, so listen up. Based on current team dynamics, projected draft picks, and a healthy dose of gut feeling (because, let's face it, that's half the fun!), my top three ATS teams for 2025 are:

1. The Buffalo Bills: Okay, hear me out. Josh Allen is a beast. Their defense is usually top-notch. And despite some recent playoff disappointments, their consistency is undeniable. They're always in the mix, and they're generally a solid bet to cover the spread, even against tough competition. Remember last year? They were a force. They're going to be hungry.

2. The Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles showed incredible resilience in 2023. Their offensive line is typically phenomenal, and Jalen Hurts is proving himself to be a top-tier quarterback. Their coaching staff is also solid. If they can stay healthy (and that's a HUGE if in the NFL!), they're going to be a nightmare ATS. Don't sleep on these guys.

3. The Kansas City Chiefs: Duh, right? Patrick Mahomes is a magician. Andy Reid is a coaching genius. They're perennial contenders and usually find ways to win, even when they're not playing their best. They consistently defy expectations. Their ATS record might not be perfect every year, but they are a team that you can confidently put your money on, at least in the beginning of the season.

My Biggest Mistake (and What I Learned)

Now, I've got to own up to a past blunder. A few years ago, I completely underestimated the Cincinnati Bengals. I wrote them off as a flash in the pan, citing their young quarterback, Joe Burrow, and their comparatively weaker supporting cast. Boy, was I wrong. They proved me completely wrong. They went on to make a deep playoff run, consistently covering the spread. I learned a valuable lesson: Never underestimate a young, hungry team with a talented quarterback. This taught me to always carefully examine the underlying factors determining the ATS – not just the headlines.

Tips for Your Own NFL ATS Picks

So, what have I learned that you can use? A few things:

• Don't just look at the team's overall record. Dig deeper. Examine their performance against the spread, game by game. Look for trends. Were they consistently covering the spread in close games?

• Injury reports are your best friend. A key injury to a star player can completely derail a team’s performance against the spread. Always check the injury reports before making any picks.

• Consider the coaching staff and team chemistry. A well-coached team with excellent team chemistry is almost always better in tighter games and that affects the ATS.

• Home-field advantage matters. Teams tend to perform better at home, particularly on a consistent basis. It's a pretty big deal, in the long run.

• Don't bet your life savings on it. Remember that even the best predictions can be wrong, so gamble responsibly, always.

2025 is still a ways off. The NFL is notoriously unpredictable and these picks could be totally wrong. This is just my take, based on what I see right now. But hey, that's part of the fun, right? Let the debates begin! Who are your ATS picks for 2025? Let’s chat in the comments.